Trip Report

Hong Kong Trip Report
Stefan Steiner met 11 managers in Hong Kong: they remain constructive on Asia, highlighting China’s recovery potential, value in Japan, strong merger arbitrage dynamics, and regional inefficiencies. A surprise TWD move rattled markets, raising concerns about JPY or HKD volatility.
Executive Summary
Hedge fund managers are positive on China as most bad news have been
priced in during the big correction from 2021 to 2023 which should result in a
multi-year recovery with interesting opportunities.
Japan offers value opportunities as the momentum on improvements in
Japan’s corporate governance and the pressure for better capital efficiency is
not slowing down.
Asian merger arbitrage has been doing very well due to a less competitive
environment after the liquidation of the largest player.
Asia remains a good region for hedge fund strategies as the markets are less
efficient, more local and independent from each other, less liquid and often
quite volatile compared to other parts of the world.
The massive and sudden move on the TWD against the USD shocked the
market participants and many are nervous that the JPY or HKD could have a
breakout too
Published by
Stefan Steiner
10. Juli 2025
10. Juli 2025

